Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.237114 0.272852 0.311285 0.355583 0.405126 0.458719 0.520967
2026-01-11 0.179276 0.227263 0.283064 0.352300 0.435423 0.531511 0.650453
2026-01-18 0.137868 0.191814 0.259361 0.349072 0.463880 0.604574 0.788554
2026-01-25 0.107202 0.163253 0.238584 0.345198 0.489832 0.676582 0.932845
2026-02-01 0.084767 0.140880 0.221560 0.342714 0.516061 0.750612 1.086436
2026-02-08 0.067805 0.122673 0.206827 0.340410 0.541131 0.824455 1.245758
2026-02-15 0.054247 0.106706 0.192368 0.335725 0.561215 0.892137 1.401430
2026-02-22 0.045724 0.097165 0.186103 0.342145 0.597669 0.985548 1.600356
2026-03-01 0.037301 0.085846 0.174803 0.338430 0.617210 1.054520 1.767615
2026-03-08 0.031167 0.077425 0.166978 0.339097 0.643181 1.134563 1.956439
2026-03-15 0.025473 0.068488 0.156561 0.333459 0.657411 1.196327 2.120169
2026-03-22 0.022683 0.065195 0.156399 0.346327 0.704406 1.314134 2.380031
2026-03-29 0.020089 0.061826 0.155696 0.358356 0.751562 1.436527 2.656925
2026-04-05 0.017097 0.056692 0.150394 0.360589 0.780889 1.530605 2.892847
2026-04-12 0.014455 0.051723 0.144552 0.360850 0.806317 1.619422 3.125075
2026-04-19 0.012131 0.046935 0.138223 0.359133 0.827512 1.701848 3.350840
2026-04-26 0.010223 0.042760 0.132564 0.358011 0.849539 1.786901 3.585677
2026-05-03 0.008609 0.038968 0.127118 0.356544 0.870494 1.871001 3.823086
2026-05-10 0.007153 0.035165 0.120867 0.352255 0.884929 1.943399 4.042837
2026-05-17 0.006303 0.033256 0.119435 0.359323 0.924111 2.065399 4.359601
2026-05-24 0.005261 0.030174 0.114010 0.355691 0.939407 2.141493 4.594458
2026-05-31 0.004497 0.027909 0.110542 0.356542 0.964651 2.238587 4.873487
2026-06-07 0.003706 0.025136 0.104873 0.350756 0.974061 2.304091 5.095014